Tear Em Asunder

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Joined: 11/22/14 Posts: 1203
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It depends on how crowded the centrist lane ends up.

We all know that Hickenlooper will end up running the Kasich/Huntsman/Richardson style campaign, based on experience and success as a governor of a growing state. He can bring a bit more personality to it given the Marijuana angle, but Harris already stole that issue from him by calling for nationwide legalization.

That tactic rarely wins if there is a better candidate who captures the "hearts and minds" like Obama did.

Out of the current crop, I suspect that Bernie, Castro, Harris, and Warren are going to fight to out millennial each other in the way that Clinton did in 2016, they are going to go further and further left into lala land to secure the true base voters on bold ideas and inspiration.

Klobuchar will try to run on a centrist platform, but she won't end up getting much traction, she's too boring, and I think the reports about abuse to her staff are hurting her. I know it to be true, because people on the hill used to call her "crazy Amy." I see her getting the Chris Dodd 1% in New Hampshire, and finishing behind Warren and Harris in Iowa.

That leaves the centrist path clear at present, but if Biden and/or Beto gets in, Hickenlooper's equation immediately changes, and he ends up trying to differentiate himself from people that have 95 percent name recognition. I firmly believe that Biden is going to wait until the last possible second and then get in, stay above the fray, and watch the field.

So overall, I think Hick has a chance to get to the top-tier only if the other big hitters stay out.
[Post edited by mpcsu at 03/06/2019 08:34AM]

(In response to this post by Hopsblues)

Posted: 03/06/2019 at 08:01AM


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Current Thread:
Early prediction..Hickenlooper makes final four dems. ** -- Hopsblues 03/06/2019 01:47AM
  I agree with you re. Romer. Godo man, good guv. -- 60s Rammie 03/06/2019 2:09PM
  Then he's at risk of being grabbed by Trump! ** -- Newport 03/06/2019 1:03PM
  Hickenlooper grabber! ** -- 60s Rammie 03/06/2019 2:10PM
  Harris vs Haley -- SappBVP 03/06/2019 10:20AM
  Trump defeated by a woman? -- CSURamFan 03/06/2019 10:25AM
  About time they cry in their beers -- SappBVP 03/06/2019 10:38AM
  Harris - Haley would be a good race I think ** -- CSURamFan 03/06/2019 11:24AM
  Agreed -- CSURamFan 03/06/2019 11:22AM
  Perhaps. An afterthought at debates..but.. ** -- Hopsblues 03/06/2019 02:08AM
  More qualified than our current prez... ** -- Hopsblues 03/06/2019 02:41AM
  Hick will make a point.... ** -- Hopsblues 03/06/2019 02:34AM

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