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Joined: 8/22/14 Posts: 10374
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It's always hard to pinpoint reasons for a slowdown beforehand...

Statistically and historically speaking, we're overdue. But the Fed has done a masterful job of keeping the ball in the air. But there has to be a limit somewhere. The tariffs seem like they could be a contributing/exacerbating factor, but probably not the primary driving force. A slowdown in the rest of the world is bound to rub off on the US at some point. The debt, while alarming and a serious concern down the road, seems unlikely to trigger a slowdown right now. Triggers for recessions always look a lot clearer in the rear view mirror.

(In response to this post by TD Elvis)

Posted: 06/05/2019 at 2:26PM


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Soft ADP Payroll report - 27,000 jobs added.... -- Newport 06/05/2019 1:21PM
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