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CSURamFan

Joined: 2/12/02 Posts: 42584
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The polls aren't done by electoral college rules, just by popular vote


You'll see that the FiveThirtyEight.com analysis on election morning showed Donald Trump with about a 30% chance of winning the electoral college. They didn't have it as Hillary winning big and said that all it would take is some within the normal polling variation for things to come out as they did.

10 or 11 days before the election the polls looked different and FiveThirtyEight did have Hillary with roughly a 90% chance of winning. But a lot can change in 10 days, and it did.
[Post edited by CSURamFan at 06/12/2019 3:57PM]

(In response to this post by Gwebb)

Posted: 06/12/2019 at 3:55PM



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Current Thread:
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