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Newport

Joined: 8/22/14 Posts: 10619
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I'll say this. When forecasting macroeconomic conditions....


The bond market seems to know more than the stock market. And the bond market is sending very negative signals right now. Other recessionary signs that are out there include slowed GDP, production, and job growth numbers in the US, as well as much more negative economic metrics in Europe. I don't think the trade war caused these conditions, but it certainly isn't helping, and is probably exacerbating the slowdown. Also, the trend to negative interest rates elsewhere in the world is also a cautionary sign that not all is well. And finally (and unscientifically), we're due a recession based on history.

(In response to this post by TylerDurdenisaRam )

Posted: 08/07/2019 at 12:43PM



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