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BCong

Joined: 8/12/10 Posts: 1166
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In an article that your Daily Wire article references


He talks about the social distancing and isolation protocols have been key components in adjusting his model.

So this isn't exactly an "oops" as you describe (though I imagine the original models had to be adjusted), but an adjustment to predictions based on updated information and behaviors.

"He said that expected increases in National Health Service capacity and ongoing restrictions to people’s movements make him “reasonably confident” the health service can cope when the predicted peak of the epidemic arrives in two or three weeks."

"The projections are based on computer simulations of the virus spreading, which take into account the properties of the virus, the reduced transmission between people asked to stay at home and the capacity of hospitals, particularly intensive care units."


[Post edited by BCong at 03/26/2020 2:17PM]

(In response to this post by 80sramDUDE)

Link: New Scientist referenced article


Posted: 03/26/2020 at 1:26PM



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