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nateDiggsCSU

Joined: 08/01/2004 Posts: 70080
Likes: 10604


Exactly....


I've thought about a lot of JCL's posts a lot and have thought about creating mathematical models to show him how his numbers are likely too high, I just haven't had the time to do so.

But you could use the standard transmission rate of COVID and come up with a model that could show based on that transmission rate and an estimate of the number of people that have been taken out of pool the number of cases you could expect to see based on the number of person to person contacts on a daily basis.

I'm not saying that you're totally wrong JCL, I just think your numbers are high and to CSU's points, if we were at the levels you say, we'd be seeing fewer cases.

(In response to this post by CSURamFan)

Posted: 01/20/2021 at 1:22PM



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Current Thread:
 
  
Let's get to work. ** -- nateDiggsCSU 01/20/2021 12:05PM
  Paris Agreement....here we come! ** -- Dubya Why Oh 01/20/2021 12:31PM
  Yes!...but just one more joke -- Dubya Why Oh 01/20/2021 12:07PM
  Cases. Deaths will trail by a couple weeks ** -- jcl508 01/20/2021 7:34PM
  Cases are down a bit in the last week.... -- Newport 01/20/2021 7:47PM
  A bit? A 20% decline in a week is massive -- jcl508 01/20/2021 8:01PM
  Yep ** -- jcl508 01/20/2021 1:19PM
  Kinda ironical -- Dubya Why Oh 01/20/2021 12:37PM
  He'll be judged by the #'s, as is appropriate.... -- Newport 01/20/2021 12:35PM
  So just a couple days ago i saw interview with a -- Hopsblues 01/20/2021 2:42PM
  Maybe? Maybe not? We'll never know ** -- jcl508 01/20/2021 1:21PM
  Yes, I would be shocked -- Dubya Why Oh 01/20/2021 12:58PM
  Agreed -- CSURamFan  01/20/2021 1:09PM
  Go Biden! -- CSURamFan  01/20/2021 12:50PM
  What's whacked? -- jcl508 01/20/2021 12:53PM
  Exactly.... -- nateDiggsCSU 01/20/2021 1:22PM
  Thanks. The 6x multiplier obviously isn't static -- jcl508 01/20/2021 2:11PM
  Sorry -- CSURamFan  01/20/2021 1:32PM
  Spin away. I realize today is hard for you. ** -- Newport 01/20/2021 12:46PM
  Where's the spin? -- jcl508 01/20/2021 12:49PM
  Lol ** -- tweeter 01/20/2021 12:14PM

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