Tear Em Asunder

RamNation Ramblings

Givemefletch

Joined: 07/12/2016 Posts: 6638
Likes: 8516


All good points


There's no doubt having Kirby Holcutt leading the expansion committee SHOULD help CSU at least get a fair shot and serious look from the committee.

One of the biggest question marks right now is, when will OU and Texas leave? Because that determines a lot. I don't think the Big12 can make any final decisions on expansion until OU and Texas provide an exit date.

BYU just extended their tv contract with ESPN in 2020 for another 7 years. What role does ESPN have in BYU moving to the Big12? Would they want that? I agree if BYU joins that gives CSU a better shot at getting into the conference. I also agree Cinci is a no-brainer and should be the #1 option right now.

On the revenue sharing part, under your scenario, AAC schools would only get a $500,000 bump in tv revenue (they make about $7M each right now). Is a school like Cincinnati really going to leave the AAC for a tiny increase in tv revenue? Of course the plan would be to increase their share to the approx. $15M eventually, but there's also a lot of risk leaving the AAC and joining a Big12 conference that could totally fall apart by 2025. The Pac12 or other conference could still decide to expand in 3-4 years and we'll go through all of this again. For a MWC school like CSU who's making a little under $4M, the risk is probably worth it, but AAC schools might need to make a little more than $7.5M to make them feel comfortable.

Predicting what is going to happen from here is impossible, but my opinion is they need to at least get back to 12 teams, which means they add 4 and plan to have those new additions join whenever OU and Texas officially depart. Adding Cinci, Memphis, BYU, and CSU would be awesome, but my opinion is biased and I'm not sure we provide enough value. UCF and Houston are probably going to bring more money into the conference long-term, but UCF creates another island problem and I'm not sure if the Texas schools would vote for Houston. I've also read that the Big12 had an unpleasant experience with the UH board chairman, Tilman Fertitta, during the 2016 expansion talks. On a side note, adding SMU brings nothing to the conference. Their fan support isn't great and the Big12 is already in the Dallas-Fort Worth market with TCU. It would be like the Pac12 adding CSU. It just doesn't make sense for them to do so. There are also several other schools that could steal a spot from CSU - Tulane, USF, SDSU, UNLV, Boise. I think we stack up pretty well against most of those, but it's hard to say what the committee is going to prioritize.

(In response to this post by Big Horned Sheep)

Posted: 08/27/2021 at 11:16AM



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Current Thread:
 
  
Some things to know about Big12 expansion -- Big Horned Sheep 08/27/2021 02:32AM
  Didn't Houston piss off the B12 in the last go around? -- DurwardRam 08/27/2021 2:13PM
  You are correct, thanks. -- DurwardRam 08/27/2021 2:36PM
  Palace Station Casinos ** -- Newport 08/27/2021 6:20PM
  Yes, but keep in mind priorities have changed a bit. -- Big Horned Sheep 08/27/2021 3:58PM
  He's a billionaire and owns the Rockets ** -- Givemefletch 08/27/2021 2:27PM
  Good points. The presidents make the decision -- bmixer 08/27/2021 12:17PM
  Teams most mentioned by Big 12 people -- bmixer 08/27/2021 12:08PM
  CSU has the Denver mkt.....much better fit than Boise ** -- Chicago Ram! 08/27/2021 7:50PM
  Re: LOL, -- bmixer 08/27/2021 1:39PM
  I'm a fan of this show too ** -- Givemefletch 08/27/2021 12:24PM
  Show is on 2-5 monday through friday. ** -- bmixer 08/27/2021 12:14PM
  Zero -- Camdigity 08/27/2021 12:28PM
  All good points -- Givemefletch 08/27/2021 11:16AM
  Where does the 7.5 million come from? -- Ram78 08/27/2021 10:53AM
  The B12 is a sinking ship. It won't exist in 5 years. -- Big Country Ram 08/27/2021 10:42AM
  This is correct -- Camdigity 08/27/2021 12:36PM
  Re: Some things to know about Big12 expansion -- stiflersmom 08/27/2021 10:00AM
  I mostly agree with you -- Ram78 08/27/2021 11:12AM
  The SEC has Columbia to Gainesville..aprox 1000 miles -- Hopsblues 08/27/2021 11:03AM
  It has more to do with all of the other sports -- Givemefletch 08/27/2021 11:22AM
  Yes, for the new schools joining -- Givemefletch 08/27/2021 8:39PM
  How likely is WVU to ACC? -- Chicago Ram! 08/27/2021 09:53AM
  While winning this season certainly won't hurt. Too -- DaMerrittthe3rd 08/27/2021 10:47AM
  Big 12 (8) better stay together -- WhammyRammy 08/27/2021 08:51AM
  Completely agree -- WhammyRammy 08/27/2021 10:39AM

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